Forum Topic

Exit polls

I think the biggest surprise is the predicted number of Reform MPs. 13 at current standing. More than initially predicted and certainly more than I personally thought we be elected.Don't get smug though, it'll probably be under 10 by the end of the week and then even fewer after a month.If the Tories win 100+ then there's very little chance that any Tories will defect to Reform, probably more likely they'll go the other way.How are we all thinking?

John Kettlekey ● 355d1 Comments

I suspect the sample sizes means that the smaller the party votes the less accurate the statistics - although in some areas Reform out voted the Tories - but maybe that skewed figures in areas where they didn't do well? It would be better if the published the error bars as part of the predictions 

Michael Ixer ● 355d