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Sue, I'd agree that all these predictions are "guestmates", as are all economic predictions; there are too many variables and future unknowns to predict anything for certain. Short term, provided we can make a controlled exit from pandemic restrictions during the next 6-9 months, it would seem reasonable to anticipate a steep recovery as people try to regain social lives, gain new employment, spend money they've saved during lockdowns and new businesses in entertainment, etc rise from the wreckage of old ones.Long term it's less clear: some areas are hampered by Brexit - such as the music business with new hurdles in setting up tours or just travelling for one off performances, SMEs struggling to come to grips with extra bureaucracy in exporting to their old EU customer base, financial services who can no longer operate in the EU to name a few - some will find ways around this but this may not be to Britain's advantage: Sir Simon Rattle has taken German citizenship and moved to Berlin, many small businesses are setting up EU distribution centres but that's normally to the advantage of EU employment with a corresponding reduction in UK employees.Many businesses will find alternative markets but that depends how good, for example, US, Australian, etc trade deals are and when (and if) they are completed; not a quick wins, and there may still be a financial services equivalence deal with the EU; - again, probably not a quick win if we keep putting random EU citizens in detention centres if a home office official is unclear about their paperwork!Other uncertainties are Scottish independence and Irish unity; the DUP being headed by a creationist, even if he's not going to be First Minister, doesn't seem like progress. Also, if the EU economy tanks that's possibly not good for the UK; they are our closest neighbour so possibly not good for the UK's tourist and luxury food exports? But we do have great opportunities in science and technology; satellites (OneWeb might not be the "turkey" some predicted), biotech (our vaccine and genome technology has rescued he UK from initially botched lockdowns and test & trace systems) and quantum 2.0 has a host of possibilities tn strong encryption, faster computing, serveellance systems, etc; plus there's plenty of opportunities in renewables and other remedies for climate change, provided the government isn't just "green washing".Are we looking at Greast Britain or Liitle England? I think it's too soon to tell; I wouldn't like to predict!

Michael Ixer ● 1805d

Ed. You raise some interesting points there. I think there are dangers in making comparisons with previous generations and times unless it's to measure changes. In the UK we don't generally live in multi-generational and multi-family households anymore. Other posts on ageism, etc have noted directly or indicated indirectly how our lives and environment have become more complex, independent, individualistic and focused on specialisms while at the same time dependent on realtime, remote communications. Before the NHS many of our parents and grand parents' families would have avoided doctors unless absolutely unavoidable and relied as far as possible on self medication with perhaps advice from chemists because of the costs involved. I've discussed the issue of relatives in care homes versus home care with a friend of a similar age. Aside from practicalities such as having sufficient room, facilities and time we agreed that the thought of us looking after them would probably have proved more frightening to our mothers than being in a good home given our empathy skills and temperaments! They'd rather we used our skills and knowledge to find appropriate, professionally managed accommodation and care with specialist facilities.Obviously, care by relatives works well and is appropriate for some but we wondered how many older people might have had longer, happier lives if they were professionally cared for rather than looked after by family members forced into doing it for financial reasons? Interestingly, I had similar conversation with the person at Thurrock Council assessing my mother's finances who agreed it was better for my mother to be in a home near where friends and relatives could visit and she had 24x7 medical and care attention by those with the training and skills. (She'd had to make a similar decision for her mother.) My mother seemed happy with the arrangement as she once, when searching for words, referred to her care home as a hotel while we were in conversation with another resident - that pleased the staff!

Michael Ixer ● 1809d