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Andy. Your decision sounds sensible to me. It's your decision and I'm assuming as the oldest you're probably carrying the highest risk but also sensible with social distancing, hand washing, mask wearing, etc? (Apologies if I've made any wrong assumptions.) I think the mistake that's made is to consider Covid deaths as a linear function. If Covid deaths are x% of the overall cases it's likely until there effective vaccination that x will be reduced by better hospital treatments. However, I'm not aware of treatments that reduce the number of people with Covid from admission to hospital. Given Covid is highly infections and cases rise at an exponential rate (I'll use that term as the government does although strictly speaking in a mathematical sense I'd associate it with the exponent function, e) then hospital admissions could easily become uncontrollable. Once hospital resources are overwhelmed then deaths from other cases - accidents, flu, cancers, suicides, etc - will rise because of the an inability to treat them. So I can see it is nessary to reduce Covid cases but that may need a short term restructuring of the economy to support it so people can isolate or shut businesses, etc without being plunged into poverty or bankrupted, and that may mean taxing those with significantly above average wealth. Alternatively, one might argue, for example, that the one and only advantage of Brexit. is the UK could unilaterally tax the outflow of money to foreign organizations or individuals above a certain amount, or implement an on-line shopping tax? (Just initial suggestions …)

Michael Ixer ● 1976d

Of course no one is forcing anyone to mix with others, but allowing five days for Christmas will encourage too many to indulge in what will be, frankly, rank stupidity.For a more nuanced view, see this (from today's Sunday Times, so behind the paywall):Chris Hopson, chief executive of NHS Providers, which represents health trusts, said: “Any decision taken now to relax the restrictions in the run-up to Christmas would be premature and full of risk. If the government gets this wrong there’s a real risk of a third surge in Covid cases in January or February, just when winter pressures on the health service are likely to be at their worst.” [Hopson was talking specifically about relaxations before Christmas, but it applies equally to the five days' relaxations.Mr Raab says that he will be telling his children, aged six and eight, not to hug their grandparents this Christmas “because we don’t want to spread the virus”. It came after a member of Sage warned that people should think carefully about whether it is worth the risk of meeting elderly relatives.Lucy Yardley, [health psychology professor at] Southampton University, said that just because we are allowed to socialise with vulnerable people does not mean that doing so is sensible.“Take a step back and think, is it really important for you to share your home for the entire period that’s allowed?” she said. “Because that is very risky to older people who are particularly vulnerable to this infection.”https://www.thetimes.co.uk/edition/news/boris-johnson-in-retreat-as-tory-revolt-over-covid-lockdown-tiers-rocks-no-10-0xd329jrv

Richard Carter ● 1976d