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Yes, from an economic viewpoint, the current disarray in the US and the better control in China suggests that a completely free market solution rather than regulated and managed competitiveness isn't the answer (the collapse of the Soviet Union shows the other extreme of a fully managed economy has it's pitfalls in reality). Europe is somewhere in between; I suspect its better coordinated health services may leave it in a strongfer position than the US, but I'm guessing; I suspect the think tanks are as well but hopefully they have significant more experience and knowledge of this than I have as an armchair observer! Yes, Russia is the dark horse, they're obviously hiding a serious, or at least a potentially serious, position with COVID-19, and their economy must have been suffering from sanctions before the oil price fall (although that's also hitting US frackers who I believe have higher fixed costs) although there are still gas sales to Europe, but Russia has also been playing the PR card with aid flights to Italy, Spain and the US - although I think they've said they expect that to be reciprocated when circumstances change? However, someone is still circulating disinformation from the Russian federation: I saw a post from a US source that a Russian report suggested Johnson was on a ventilator. (I don't believe that but I'd already seen speculation in the UK that if he's just having tests could they have waited until Monday morning and avoided him knocking the Queen off the top news spot?) It will be a turbulent and "interesting" decade in the '20s ...

Michael Ixer ● 2410d