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@Paul. Lucky I'm not incommunicado at the theatre, Proms or another concert hall as it's a Saturday 😶 If you want an honest answer I haven't a clue! A FB friend (who is a Brexit voter) reckons the best guide is the bookies odds but as gambling isn't one of my vices I'm not well up on where they sit at the moment. Another hung parliament wouldn't surprised me. Some thought's:If Johnson wins as PM a lot of Tory voters might ditch Farage now they have a Brexit PM?The Tories have a small membership selecting the PM, some of their voters who aren't members and want to remain or are averse to a no deal may detest Johnson and desert to the LibDems?Corbyn has been see to "dither" on Brexit and mishandle the anti semitic problem's.I wonder if - given the split Labour also have between Remainers and Leavers - has he been quite canny in gradually evolving a position towards a second referendum with a bias towards remain? The Tories record on Windrush and universal credit hasn't been good and I'm just wondering if he could use the "trust card" in the Labour pro Brexit heartlands. Basically, the Tories stitched up the Windrush immigrants and those of you on benefits, why would you trust what they say about Brexit?I hate to say it but I wonder how many labour voters would be lost by the anti semitic mishandling when they consider it alongside all other issues? It is making people question what's going on but I'm not sure how many have been affected by it directly? It may be the trigger for some to migrate to LibDem or Green - I would give it serious thought but then will my vote really count? Will the LjbDems and Greens form some sort of coalition?Will the Tories get wiped out in Scotland or Wales, could the Alliance party grab more votes in Northern Ire!and?A final unknown factor is the younger vote, particularly first time voters? Will they actually go and vote? If they do I suspect.Add to that the unpredictability of the first past the post voting system, and ASD j said, I don't haves a clue!

Michael Ixer ● 2671d

Janet and Johns parents were marching yesterday as they’re terrified at what the removal of their children’s EU citizenship would mean for their futures. Or maybe their mother is Spanish, and after spending a while in Spain a few years ago to care for her sick mother, does not qualify for settled status. They listened to the lady from question time who runs a chemicals company, talking about how she’s diverting business away from the UK as leaving the EU would mean duplication of paperwork and more ‘red tape’ for the UK to trade with the largest trade bloc on the planet, the loss of taxes going to the treasury to support our public services that that means, and jobs being created outside of the UK. They listened to Sue Wilson from Bremain in Spain, campaigning to ensure that UK citizens who have already exercised their right to freedom of movement can continue to enjoy their lives elsewhere in the EU. They listened to Mike Galsworthy from Scientists for EU say how the UK science community is heavily dependent on the mass collaboration opportunities available within the EU, as well as the funding it receives. They listened to the Italian guy from InLimbo. ‘Nothing will change’ turned out to be an empty promise, and one which is inflicting misery on very many people who chose to make the UK their home and have brought up families and paid their taxes here for very many years. They would have heard a guy from RemainerNow talk about his daughter being diagnosed with epilepsy last year, whose doctor says they cannot guarantee the drugs she needs will be available. They would have heard a lady talking about how the Erasmus scheme is being extended to apprenticeships throughout the EU, and how our young people will be shut out of all the opportunities this would have given them. The EU isn’t all about trade, it’s about people. It’s not democratic to take rights away from others. Stop Brexit.

Clare Noeken ● 2670d

@Clare. Agreed, the UK's links with the EU go way beyond trade. I know my science contacts via IC and the BAA have very serous concerns about the effects of even a soft Brexit and I know that a sudden hard Brexit will be seen as a disaster for their collaboration. My colleagues from the EU in IT and Finance aren't too concerned about own their status if they have a continuous work record but when they see the callous, authoritarian and inhumane way the Windrush people were dealt with (and technically they were British citizens!) they feel the process defined to remain is unfriendly and unnecessary in many respects, and have concerns with any anomalies, and the impact on any extended family members not currently in the UK. Finally, Johnson or Hunt do not have a solution to resolve the conflict between Brexit and the Good Friday Agreement. It could be a technical solution might work but remember that's not available immediately. It will have to be defined and agreed between the UK and EU, designed, built, installed, tested and rolled out. Given EU and UK bureaucracy, if you think that'll be finished in less than two years please can you tell me what you're smoking? So that probably wrecks the NI economy for a couple of years in the event of a hard Brexit; poverty would be a nice breading ground for recruits to the new IRA? I'd also be interested to see how long any infrastructure needed for it (scanners, cameras, etc) lasts, but they'll probably be growth in one industry: a return of the smuggling activities. Not entirely my opinion, based also on those of a friend with relatives in NI but it makes sense to me. Anyway, reasons why my wife and I marched yesterday.

Michael Ixer ● 2670d