Forum Topic

Peoples Vote March ~ Crowd Numbers Vastly Overestimated

Manchester Metropolitan University’s Professor Keith Still, said “based on the visuals from the helicopter image, it’s between 312,000 and 400,000 people.”  Prof. Dr G. Keith Still is the Professor of Crowd Science at Manchester Metropolitan University (UK). He has lectured at the UK Cabinet Office Emergency Planning College (EPC) from 1999 - 2013 contributing to a wide range of crowd safety related courses. Report from Full Fact: https://fullfact.org/europe/peoples-vote-march-count/

Sue Hammond ● 2788d5 Comments

Didn't Donald Trump have crowd-size overestimation problems at his inauguration?  :-)

John Gorst ● 2788d

It should be relatively easy to estimate the size at a particular time. Count the number of people at in say a 100m² and then estimate how many 100m² there are using the helicopter images for both. But one needs to make sure by looking at the images (say, each half hour over the 5-6 hour period) that one gets the maximum crowd size. What's difficult to estimate in the in/out flow of people: how many people at the end are the same as those that started. Will look at link later.

Michael Ixer ● 2788d

meanwhile the 'march on London' has dwindled down to about 80 lol

Matt Palmer ● 2787d

Remain is about belief and faith - accurate numbers would belittle their message with dirty accuracy.  Still waiting for osborne to explain how Britain put in so many jobs after voting to leave against his treasury sanctioned deep recession and loss of 500k jobs.

Mike Warman ● 2787d

Guess that figure means that this march was only 1,000 times bigger than the Brexit march being led by Nigel Farage - when he can find time to join it and is not clocking in at Brussels to claim his £90K salary plus expenses.

John Hawkes ● 2784d